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Prognostic Factors for Long-Term Risk of Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

短暂性脑缺血发作或轻微脑卒中后中风长期风险的预后因素:系统评价和荟萃分析。

期刊: Circulation 日期: 2026-03-18 PMID: 41849763 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.125.078763 浏览: 120
作者: Faizan Khan, Vignan Yogendrakumar, Ronda Lun, Caterina E Marx, Bram Rochwerg, Alexandre Tran, Shannon M Fernando, Aravind Ganesh, Philip A Barber, Joachim Ögren, Angel Ois, Eva Giralt-Steinhauer, Andrej Netland Khanevski, Xinyi Leng, Xuan Tian, Thomas W Leung, Esmee Verburgt, Jamie Verhoeven, Frank-Erik de Leeuw, Fredrik Ildstad, Simon Fandler-Höfler, Karoliina Aarnio, Bettina von Sarnowski, Diane L Lorenzetti, Shelagh B Coutts, Pierre Amarenco, Graeme J Hankey, Michael D Hill
Khan, F., Yogendrakumar, V., Lun, R., Marx, C.E., Rochwerg, B., Tran, A., Fernando, S.M., Ganesh, A., Barber, P.A., Ögren, J., Ois, A., Giralt-Steinhauer, E., Khanevski, A.N., Leng, X., Tian, X., Leung, T.W., Verburgt, E., Verhoeven, J., Leeuw, F.E.d., . . . Hill, M.D. (2026). Prognostic Factors for Long-Term Risk of Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.. Circulation. https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.125.078763
Khan F, Yogendrakumar V, Lun R, Marx CE, Rochwerg B, Tran A, et al. Prognostic Factors for Long-Term Risk of Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.. Circulation. 2026; doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.125.078763
Khan F, Yogendrakumar V, Lun R, et al. Prognostic Factors for Long-Term Risk of Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.[J]. Circulation. 2026. DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.125.078763.
@article{khan2026,
  author = {Faizan Khan and Vignan Yogendrakumar and Ronda Lun and Caterina E Marx and Bram Rochwerg and Alexandre Tran and Shannon M Fernando and Aravind Ganesh and Philip A Barber and Joachim Ögren and Angel Ois and Eva Giralt-Steinhauer and Andrej Netland Khanevski and Xinyi Leng and Xuan Tian and Thomas W Leung and Esmee Verburgt and Jamie Verhoeven and Frank-Erik de Leeuw and Fredrik Ildstad and Simon Fandler-Höfler and Karoliina Aarnio and Bettina von Sarnowski and Diane L Lorenzetti and Shelagh B Coutts and Pierre Amarenco and Graeme J Hankey and Michael D Hill},
  title = {Prognostic Factors for Long-Term Risk of Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.},
  journal = {Circulation},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.125.078763},
  note = {PMID: 41849763},
}
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Faizan Khan
AU  - Vignan Yogendrakumar
AU  - Ronda Lun
AU  - Caterina E Marx
AU  - Bram Rochwerg
AU  - Alexandre Tran
AU  - Shannon M Fernando
AU  - Aravind Ganesh
AU  - Philip A Barber
AU  - Joachim Ögren
AU  - Angel Ois
AU  - Eva Giralt-Steinhauer
AU  - Andrej Netland Khanevski
AU  - Xinyi Leng
AU  - Xuan Tian
AU  - Thomas W Leung
AU  - Esmee Verburgt
AU  - Jamie Verhoeven
AU  - Frank-Erik de Leeuw
AU  - Fredrik Ildstad
AU  - Simon Fandler-Höfler
AU  - Karoliina Aarnio
AU  - Bettina von Sarnowski
AU  - Diane L Lorenzetti
AU  - Shelagh B Coutts
AU  - Pierre Amarenco
AU  - Graeme J Hankey
AU  - Michael D Hill
TI  - Prognostic Factors for Long-Term Risk of Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
T2  - Circulation
PY  - 2026
DO  - 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.125.078763
AN  - PMID:41849763
ER  - 

摘要

Patients with a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke have an increased risk of subsequent stroke that persists for at least 10 years. We aimed to identify prognostic factors associated with long-term risk of stroke in this patient group, and estimate their population attribution fraction (PAF). A systematic review was performed of MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science for cohort studies including patients with TIA or minor stroke that evaluated factors for subsequent stroke over a follow-up period of ≥1 year. We pooled hazard ratios adjusted for relevant confounders using random-effect meta-analysis and determined the PAF of factors based on their pooled prevalence and adjusted hazard ratio (aHR). We assessed certainty of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach. The study is registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023476551). From 14 732 identified citations, we included 28 cohort studies comprising 86 810 patients with TIA or minor stroke (median age, 69 years [IQR, 65-71]; 52-60% male patients). Factors that had high certainty evidence of association with increased long-term risk of stroke included older age (aHR 1.04 per year increase, 95% CI 1.02-1.05), male sex (1.25, 1.15-1.36; PAF 13.0%, 95% CI 7.8-18.7), atrial fibrillation (1.34, 1.18-1.52; 3.8%, 95% CI 0.3-9.9), diabetes mellitus (1.52, 1.32-1.75; 7.7%, 3.1-14.1), hypertension (1.60, 1.31-1.94; 19.3%, 8.4-31.6), ischemic heart disease (1.67, 1.28-2.18; 10.7%, 2.8-22.9), history of stroke or TIA before the index event (1.70, 1.43-2.02; 12.0%, 5.2-21.4), smoking (1.29, 1.05-1.60; 11.2%, 1.0-30.7), ABCD These findings can help identify patients with a particularly enduring risk of stroke who are most likely to benefit from ongoing monitoring and treatment, and facilitate the development and implementation of targeted stroke prevention strategies.

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